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Weichai Power China National Heavy Duty Truck gathers in Hong Kong capital market and reconfirms

With Sinotruk Hong Kong (3808-HK) making its debut on the Hong Kong stock exchange this Wednesday, two major players in the industry—Sinotruk and Weichai Power (000338-CN, 2338-HK)—are now set to compete more directly within Hong Kong’s financial market. As both companies aim to strengthen their positions, the race for leadership and investor recognition is expected to intensify in the coming months. The heavy truck market remains a dominant sector, with Sinotruk Hong Kong holding a significant 63.78% stake in its A-share listed subsidiary, China National Heavy Duty Truck (000951-CN). According to data from the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, Sinotruk's cumulative sales in the first eight months of 2007 reached 70,169 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 71.15%. This performance has already positioned it ahead of FAW and Dongfeng, securing its position as the industry leader. By the third quarter, its market share in the heavy truck segment had climbed to approximately 20.8%. Meanwhile, Weichai Power has also made strong progress, particularly through its partnership with Shaanxi Auto Group. While its sales during the same period totaled 39,394 units—only 56% of Sinotruk’s figures—Weichai has leveraged its comprehensive supply chain and integrated operations to significantly boost growth. Its market share rose from around 10% in 2006 to about 15% by the third quarter of 2007. One of Weichai Power’s key advantages lies in its fully integrated industrial chain. After acquiring Torch, Weichai transformed from a pure engine manufacturer into a complete heavy truck producer, combining engines (Weichai), transmissions (FARTEC), axles (HANDE), and vehicles (Shaanxi CNHTC). This integration makes it the only domestic supplier offering a full powertrain solution (engine + transmission + axle). Weichai engines are used in over 80% of heavy trucks exceeding 15 tons and loaders over 5 tons. HANDE and FARTEC also hold dominant positions in the heavy truck industry. This vertical integration allows Weichai to shift from single-market competition to a more strategic, joint-competitive approach, enhancing its cost control and pricing power. The company’s gross margin has increased significantly, with its main business profit margin rising to 23.13% in the third quarter of 2007, compared to 22.2% in the same period last year. This outperforms Sinotruk Hong Kong’s 18% and even its subsidiary China National Heavy Duty Truck’s 12.58%. Looking ahead, both companies are preparing for the next stage of competition, especially with the upcoming implementation of the National III emission standards in 2008. Weichai Power recently announced plans to issue up to 60 million A-shares, raising 5.58 billion yuan to expand its Lanqing engine production and other projects. Analysts predict FY07 earnings per share will exceed RMB 3.5, with A-shares and H-shares trading at around 22 and 15 times P/E respectively. Sinotruk Hong Kong, which recently completed its IPO, aims to use the funds to repay debt, boost production capacity, invest in R&D, and expand markets. Its listing also supports its internationalization strategy. However, the IPO price cap suggests a high valuation, with a forecasted P/E of around 27 times for FY07, which is higher than Weichai’s. While the Chinese auto and heavy equipment industries are experiencing rapid growth, driven by the country’s ongoing heavy industrialization, challenges remain. Macroeconomic policies and global economic uncertainties could slow down growth in 2008. Nevertheless, the demand for heavy trucks is expected to continue growing, fueled by domestic trade expansion and increasing overseas demand. As the industry moves toward the National III standard, competition will intensify. Both Sinotruk and Weichai have invested heavily, and who can adapt faster and better will likely gain an edge in the evolving market landscape.

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