March 29, 2024

New energy equipment companies need to be more cautious when they have excess capacity

"Overcapacity in China's energy equipment industry has already begun to appear, and there is a growing trend. Energy equipment companies must broaden their horizons and avoid the convergence of industries." At the 2010 China (International) Energy Equipment Industry Development Summit Forum, the China Machinery Industry Union The special consultant and the president of the China General Machinery Industry Association Yan Yongbin reminded.
In his opinion, like a thermal power plant, nuclear power equipment also has a saturated day. Since nuclear TV is another huge market space after the thermal power, the energy of the relevant energy equipment manufacturing companies has enthusiasm and riveting momentum, which has caused the overcapacity in this field.
The beginning of the price war in the field of nuclear power Yu Yongbin said that in the next 10 years, advanced energy equipment will still be the main driving force for the development of China's equipment manufacturing industry. However, at the same time of its rapid development, the three major power groups and other energy equipment manufacturing companies are facing the yawning of excess capacity.
According to national plans, China has formed three major nuclear power equipment manufacturing bases in the Northeast, Shanghai, and Sichuan. The nuclear island's key equipment such as large castings and forgings, pressure vessels, main pipelines, nuclear-grade pump valves, and rings have formed moderate competition. In spite of this, there are still phenomena that have started and started again. “It is not appropriate for localities to mention new nuclear power equipment manufacturing bases. Products that have already been domestically produced and have already reached volume production capacity should not be reinvested again.” Yan Yongbin stated that at present, The second generation of improved nuclear-grade pump valves already has more than a dozen companies with manufacturing capabilities and began to fight prices in the market.
Another example is the large-scale welded ball valve for natural gas long-distance pipelines. The state has arranged three companies to invest heavily in R&D and production. However, at least more than a dozen companies across the country are still continuing to purchase equipment and capacity, which can be described as blooming everywhere. "Despite the urgent need of the state, but continue to invest in development, its production capacity greatly exceeds demand."
On the contrary, China has not yet mastered the design technology of gas-fired-steam combined-cycle units and the manufacturing capabilities of key equipment; the supply of high-quality small and medium-sized castings and forgings for nuclear-grade pump valves has been seriously inadequate, which has become a bottleneck restricting the development of nuclear power and conventional thermal power. About 90% of petrochemical hydrogenation valves and thermal power high-parameter valves still rely on imports.
He also cited key equipment and large-scale equipment that China lacks in long-distance pipelines, natural gas liquefaction, etc.: High-frequency variable-speed motors, large-diameter all-welded pipeline valves, oil pipeline pumps and valves, and large multi-stream plate heat exchangers. Large-scale refrigeration compressors, high-power frequency conversion systems, cryogenic pumps, cryogenic valves, control systems, and key instruments.
“Because of the withdrawal of a domestic explosion-proof motor group, the nuclear-grade motor field is currently only one Jiamusi electric motor plant, which seriously affects the supply, and so far the K1-class motor has not been successfully developed.” Yan Yongbin said that these need to attract more attention In order to avoid the phenomenon of industrial homogenization, it is necessary to improve technological innovation and independent research and development capabilities, and increase input and R&D efforts for such high-quality castings and forgings, nuclear-level instrumentation systems, petrochemical hydrogenation valves, and thermal power high-parameter valves. , Make it possible to autonomy at an early date and end the import-dependent situation. "Also hope to pay attention to new industries such as solar thermal power generation."
The disorderly competition needs to be guarded against. Energy must be developed and equipment must be implemented first. The autonomy of energy equipment can be regarded as a guarantee for promoting China's energy security and technological development. In recent years, through the determination of a number of independent projects, China has strongly promoted the localization of energy equipment, which has effectively guaranteed the need for energy construction.
In response, Zhang Guobao, deputy director of the National Development and Reform Commission and director of the National Energy Administration, explained at the Energy Equipment Forum that the rapid development of China's power industry over the past few years has largely benefited from a solid foundation for power generation equipment manufacturing and major technologies. The independence of equipment has greatly reduced the construction cost of energy projects. “Prices of domestic equipment are generally 1/3 to 1/2 lower than comparable imported equipment, which enhances the competitiveness of the energy industry and market vitality.”
Zhen Yongbin also has deep feelings. “The localization of energy equipment has broken the market monopoly of foreign companies, effectively quelling market prices and forcing foreign products to significantly reduce prices, which has made significant contributions to reducing the cost of projects for users.” For example, he said, for example, millions of kilowatts of nuclear power Pressure vessels, 600,000 kilowatts of air-cooled power station air coolers, long-distance natural gas pipelines and large ball valves are all reduced by more than 50%.
However, it cannot be overlooked that currently domestic manufacturing companies have begun to compete for prices, and some companies even do not hesitate to compete at prices below cost. Yan Yongbin believes that "in the long run, if our users are all awarded with the lowest price, then it is not desirable for manufacturing enterprises or for the safety of major national strategic projects such as nuclear power and natural gas pipelines. ."
"It can be imagined that if a company provides such equipment to the country for a long period of time without making any profits or making any profits, there will be a big potential safety problem." Yan Yongbin emphasized that "so, I hope the government can strengthen policy guidance and hope that the company can strengthen Self-discipline, standardize the market order, and avoid disorderly price competition."
The direction of foreign investment needs to be closely watched. "We must pay attention to and study new trends in foreign investment."
Zhai Yongbin believes that the localization of energy equipment will inevitably cause some foreign brands that have a long market share in China to lose part of the market. On the one hand, they will cut prices, block the just-exhausted local companies from entering the market, and on the other hand establish wholly-owned assets in China. Enterprises or joint ventures controlled by them continue to occupy the Chinese market. However, the controlling joint ventures are often those enterprises that have achieved outstanding localization, have independent intellectual property rights, and have started bulk orders.
In this regard, he said, domestic companies are always afraid that foreign brands will not choose joint ventures and choose other companies. Ultimately, they often have to take this mentality and have to venture with foreign companies. In fact, in this case, many joint ventures It is difficult for companies to obtain the core technology of foreign brands.
Reform and opening up is China's basic national policy, and China's energy equipment companies still hope to step up cooperation with foreign brands and achieve a win-win situation.
“I hope that local manufacturing companies will have a permanent guarantee when they establish joint ventures with foreign companies. That is, local companies should have independent intellectual property rights, or they must transfer core technologies to joint ventures. At the same time, they also hope that the relevant national departments And local governments can seriously study and formulate some guiding policies." Yan Yongbin said earnestly.
Millions of kilowatts of nuclear power exports should pay attention In addition, we should also pay attention to millions of kilowatts of nuclear power exports.
Zhang Guobao once pointed out that the equipment manufacturing industry must have the awareness of actively participating in international competition. "On the one hand, we have already formed huge production capacity and must go out to seek development. On the other hand, we already have considerable strength and conditions for going global." ”
He said that in the field of nuclear power, China has a self-designed, manufactured and engineered capacity of one million kilowatts, and the design and manufacture of key equipment can basically be based on the domestic market. In recent years, conventional professional equipment such as steam turbines and generators have been completed one after another. At the same time, the state, local governments, and enterprises have invested 20 billion to 30 billion yuan in large-scale technological transformations and formed a world-class R&D and manufacturing base for nuclear power equipment.”
According to Yong Yongbin, China's nuclear power equipment planning and layout has basically taken shape. Its potential production capacity can be adapted to nuclear power development planning and export needs. “In addition, the localization rate of the second-generation improved multi-kilo kilowatt nuclear power unit equipment can reach more than 80%, and the production capacity of nuclear power key equipment has also taken shape.”
Zhen Yongbin gave a set of data. According to preliminary calculations, it is expected that by 2012 China will have 12 sets of nuclear power vessels with a capacity of 10,000 kilowatts, 7 sets of internals, control rod drive mechanisms, 18 sets of main pumps and 15 sets of conventional island turbine generators.
However, there are two factors that restrict the export of millions of kilowatts of nuclear power. He analyzed that first, China has not yet formed a unified standardization system for nuclear power equipment, and only by formulating a standardized system as soon as possible can it be more favorable to promote the export of equipment; second, China’s partial nuclear Key equipment such as main pumps and nuclear forging control systems do not yet possess core technologies.
In response, Shu Guogang, general manager of China General Nuclear Power Engineering Corporation, also stated that in addition to a group of excellent domestic suppliers as the support, the establishment of nuclear power brands and the realization of exports, "also need to establish a set of nuclear power development regulations that are compatible with the development of domestic companies. System, which will also create a broader world nuclear power market for its own supplier team."
Localization of energy equipment has a long way to go. In addition to continuing to adhere to the organizational coordination of relevant government departments, users support active cooperation, manufacturing companies must also establish a high degree of social responsibility, strengthen management, ensure product quality and key project duration, cherish and consolidate hard-won localization results. "We hope that we can assume the responsibility for the quality of the equipment manufacturing enterprises of the national energy projects." Yan Yongbin stressed.

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